Difference between revisions of "Certainty"
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John Tukey<ref>John Tukey Ann. Math. Stat. 33 (1962)</ref> (Statistician, U. of St. Andrews)<blockquote>Far better an approximate answer to the right question, which is often vague, than the exact answer to the wrong question, which can always be made precise.</blockquote> | John Tukey<ref>John Tukey Ann. Math. Stat. 33 (1962)</ref> (Statistician, U. of St. Andrews)<blockquote>Far better an approximate answer to the right question, which is often vague, than the exact answer to the wrong question, which can always be made precise.</blockquote> | ||
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| + | Clarence Darrow at the end of the Scopes Monkey Trial where Wm Jennings Bryan had tried, unsuccessfully, to prove the absolute truth of the Bible.<ref>Brenda Wineapple, ''Keeping the Faith''</ref><blockquote>To him, the Bible should be read like any other great book. Portions of it are sublime and inspired. ... I believe that the Universe acts as it has always acted in accordance with immutable laws. And that what ever may be at the back of that Universe, it has never violated these universal laws.</blockquote> | ||
==Solution== | ==Solution== | ||
Revision as of 15:36, 31 August 2024
Full Title or Meme
A little vagueness is less likely to cause irreparable harm than absolute certainty.
Context
We live in an age where we are giving increasing amounts on control to automatic processes. We need to step back to be sure that a hasty automation is not a grievous mistake.
Bertrand Russel [1] (Philosopher, U of Cambridge)Everything is vague to a degree you do not realize till you have tried to make it precise, and everything precise is so remote from everything that we normally think, that you cannot for a moment suppose that is what we really mean when we say what we think.John Tukey[2] (Statistician, U. of St. Andrews)
Far better an approximate answer to the right question, which is often vague, than the exact answer to the wrong question, which can always be made precise.Clarence Darrow at the end of the Scopes Monkey Trial where Wm Jennings Bryan had tried, unsuccessfully, to prove the absolute truth of the Bible.[3]
To him, the Bible should be read like any other great book. Portions of it are sublime and inspired. ... I believe that the Universe acts as it has always acted in accordance with immutable laws. And that what ever may be at the back of that Universe, it has never violated these universal laws.
Solution
Never trust a person that starts with the answer and then works backwards to discover the problem.
References
- ↑ Bertrand Russel The Philosophy of Logical Atomism (1918-19) Lecture 1: Facts and Propositions http://www.visakanv.com/blog/precise/
- ↑ John Tukey Ann. Math. Stat. 33 (1962)
- ↑ Brenda Wineapple, Keeping the Faith
