Difference between revisions of "Significant Results"
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Reputational Crisis | Reputational Crisis | ||
* 2024 [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=er0SVun8rww Gerd Gigerenzer: Mindless Statistics] | * 2024 [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=er0SVun8rww Gerd Gigerenzer: Mindless Statistics] | ||
| + | Intellectually, Gigerenzer's work is rooted in Herbert Simon's work on satisficing (as opposed to maximizing) and on ecological and evolutionary views of cognition, where adaptive function and success is central, as opposed to logical structure and consistency, although the latter can be means towards function. | ||
==Problems== | ==Problems== | ||
| − | Statistical Inference | + | Statistical Inference = hacking P-Values or confidence intervals |
| + | |||
* Fisher said "No scientific researcher will ever have the same level of significance from experiment to experiment" | * Fisher said "No scientific researcher will ever have the same level of significance from experiment to experiment" | ||
* Neyman-Pearson emphasized the role of judgement | * Neyman-Pearson emphasized the role of judgement | ||
* Baysian is the only way to get real numbers. | * Baysian is the only way to get real numbers. | ||
| + | * Nunally has a more valid book | ||
Moral courage, Philip Zimbardo who is famous for his stain for prison experiment, and two colleagues, asked theri participants "do you feel that there is a difference between altruism and heroism?" | Moral courage, Philip Zimbardo who is famous for his stain for prison experiment, and two colleagues, asked theri participants "do you feel that there is a difference between altruism and heroism?" | ||
| + | |||
| + | [[Significant Political Change]] should be possible with 3.5% of a populations. | ||
==Solution== | ==Solution== | ||
Latest revision as of 14:02, 15 June 2025
Definition
Selecting data to prove a result that can get a scientific paper published.
Context
Reputational Crisis
Intellectually, Gigerenzer's work is rooted in Herbert Simon's work on satisficing (as opposed to maximizing) and on ecological and evolutionary views of cognition, where adaptive function and success is central, as opposed to logical structure and consistency, although the latter can be means towards function.
Problems
Statistical Inference = hacking P-Values or confidence intervals
- Fisher said "No scientific researcher will ever have the same level of significance from experiment to experiment"
- Neyman-Pearson emphasized the role of judgement
- Baysian is the only way to get real numbers.
- Nunally has a more valid book
Moral courage, Philip Zimbardo who is famous for his stain for prison experiment, and two colleagues, asked theri participants "do you feel that there is a difference between altruism and heroism?"
Significant Political Change should be possible with 3.5% of a populations.
Solution
- Stop funding so many post-doc researchers in colleges.
