Significant Results

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Definition

Selecting data to prove a result that can get a scientific paper published.

Context

Reputational Crisis

Intellectually, Gigerenzer's work is rooted in Herbert Simon's work on satisficing (as opposed to maximizing) and on ecological and evolutionary views of cognition, where adaptive function and success is central, as opposed to logical structure and consistency, although the latter can be means towards function.

Problems

Statistical Inference = hacking P-Values or confidence intervals

  • Fisher said "No scientific researcher will ever have the same level of significance from experiment to experiment"
  • Neyman-Pearson emphasized the role of judgement
  • Baysian is the only way to get real numbers.
  • Nunally has a more valid book

Moral courage, Philip Zimbardo who is famous for his stain for prison experiment, and two colleagues, asked theri participants "do you feel that there is a difference between altruism and heroism?"

Significant Political Change should be possible with 3.5% of a populations.

Solution

  • Stop funding so many post-doc researchers in colleges.

References